About Me

Kyle Smith (Twitter: @rkylesmith) is critic-at-large for National Review, theater critic for The New Criterion and the author of the novels Love Monkey and A Christmas Caroline. Type a title in the box above to locate a review.

Buy Love Monkey for $4! "Hilarious"--Maslin, NY Times. "Exceedingly readable and wickedly funny romantic comedy"--S.F. Chronicle. "Loud and brash, a helluva lot of fun"--Entertainment Weekly. "Engaging romp, laugh-out-loud funny"-CNN. "Shrewd, self-deprecating, oh-so-witty. Smith's ruthless humor knows no bounds"--NPR

Buy A Christmas Caroline for $10! "for those who prefer their sentimentality seasoned with a dash of cynical wit. A quick, enjoyable read...straight out of Devil Wears Prada"--The Wall Street Journal

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    Mitt Victory 98.6 Percent Certain

    By kyle | January 31, 2012

    So says this economist about tonight’s results. I find it odd that people apparently keep switching their votes between two very well-known quantities. What substantive information has emerged about either of them in the last couple of weeks? And yet Mitt went from plus 20 in South Carolina to losing by 12; then was losing in Florida and is now going to win easily. A Florida victory means that Romney will then inevitably vault over Gingrich, who holds a narrow lead in national polls. It’s almost like voters mark their ballots in accordance with the most recent impression made on them.
    The outcome isn’t seriously in doubt here, is it? Newt is hurting the party, and maybe himself, by fighting so fiercely in a race he initially entered as a lark. As a direct result, Romney’s negatives have skyrocketed, but there might be time for them to settle down a bit after primary season winds up. Newt should drop out, soon.

    Topics: Mitt Romney | 4 Comments »

    4 Responses to “Mitt Victory 98.6 Percent Certain”

    1. Patrick Wahl Says:
      January 31st, 2012 at 10:07 pm

      I would say Newt is in some ways less than a perfectly known quantity. Newt reveals new information about himself each week, and I think that information is leading people to the conclusion that he is sort of a jerk.

    2. Obama bin Biden Says:
      February 1st, 2012 at 8:57 am

      Anybody except the Kenyan Marxist would be a savior.

    3. Anwyn Says:
      February 1st, 2012 at 12:28 pm

      Why do you say Newt entered the race as a lark?

      I find few arguments sillier than that anybody, i.e. your non-preferred candidate, is hurting the party just by being in the race. That’s nonsense that if taken to its logical conclusion would mandate Hillary Clinton’s “fall in line” approach to picking candidates.

      All that said, I don’t prefer either Newt or Romney right now. I am candidateless.

    4. Kyle Says:
      February 1st, 2012 at 11:37 pm

      Newt is smart enough to know that being the most hated politician in America in the late 90s, and being bounced out of office by your own party after only four years in a leadership post, is hardly the resume of a president. You can tell from the way he didn’t bother with organizing on the ground, getting on all of the ballots, raising money, etc., that what he really wanted to do was just have fun tweaking the media at debates, raise his profile/speaking fees/book deals (he has been so bored since leaving congress that he has posted hundreds of book reviews on, for no pay) and become an elder statesman. Then suddenly he was in front in the polls and he started to believe his own malarkey.
      He is most certainly hurting the party, by making Romney spend a lot of money to destroy him and look like a bit of a villain in the process (his negatives have skyrocketed in the last month or so) when he/we should be focused on destroying Obama.
      If Newt stays in the race, it’ll be out of sheer resentment, not out of self interest. He has essentially zero chance of getting the nomination and he hurts his approval ratings among Republicans with all of this bitterness and megalomania. It’s hard to believe that just six weeks ago he was seen as a charming, positive guy by the GOP. Republicans are the same ones he is eventually going to turn to to buy his books and attend his speaking engagements, so he really shouldn’t piss us off.